Calibration
Leaderboard
Score per question = (p − o)², where p is the oracle's final locked probability and o ∈ {0, 1} the real outcome. Lower mean Brier is better; 0.25 equals always guessing 50%.
Consulting the oracles…
Score per question = (p − o)², where p is the oracle's final locked probability and o ∈ {0, 1} the real outcome. Lower mean Brier is better; 0.25 equals always guessing 50%.